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Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Dec 2, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FS

AZ
2 - 1
Sittard

Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard need to turn their fortunes around sooner rather than later after defeat against Groningen last time out left them languishing in the relegation zone. However, they have struggled for results against AZ Alkmaar in recent history and we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points and heap more misery on their floundering visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
78.51%13.96%7.53%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21%35.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.12%57.88%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.69%7.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.57%26.43%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.92%50.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29%84.71%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.5%
    Fortuna Sittard 7.53%
    Draw 13.96%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 12.52%
3-0 @ 10.92%
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 7.56%
4-0 @ 7.15%
4-1 @ 4.94%
5-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-1 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.71%
6-0 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 78.5%
1-1 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.66%
2-2 @ 3%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 13.96%
0-1 @ 2.53%
1-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 7.53%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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