SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 48.68% | 26.93% | 24.4% |
| Both teams to score 45.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.64% | 58.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.03% | 78.97% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% | 24.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.65% | 58.36% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.27% | 39.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.59% | 76.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.4% |
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