We said: Heracles 1-2 Groningen
Groningen have been hard to beat of late having lost just one of their last 11 games, in stark contrast to Heracles, who have lost eight times in that span. We fancy the away team to emerge victorious, narrowly edging out their hosts by the odd goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
