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Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 3.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
P

Heracles
1 - 1
PSV

Vloet (31' pen.)
Hardeveld (28'), Bijleveld (42'), Kiomourtzoglou (77'), Propper (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Max (51' pen.)
Rosario (73'), Bruma (78')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PSV Eindhoven.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawPSV Eindhoven
22.61%20.99%56.39%
Both teams to score 62.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.8%57.2%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53%12.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57%38.43%
Score Analysis
    Heracles 22.61%
    PSV Eindhoven 56.39%
    Draw 20.99%
HeraclesDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.83%
1-0 @ 4.46%
2-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 6.71%
0-3 @ 5.34%
2-3 @ 4.21%
1-4 @ 3.49%
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-4 @ 2.19%
1-5 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.16%
3-4 @ 0.92%
2-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 56.39%


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