Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mura had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mura win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.