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Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
IJsseldelta Stadion
SR

PEC Zwolle
4 - 0
Sparta

Ghoochannejhad (45+5' pen., 47'), Leemans (54'), Nakayama (71')
Nakayama (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Auassar (45+2')
Pinto (45+4')
Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Sparta Rotterdam.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawSparta Rotterdam
39.34%24.7%35.96%
Both teams to score 58.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66%44.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.72%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%56%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42%58.58%
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 39.34%
    Sparta Rotterdam 35.96%
    Draw 24.7%
PEC ZwolleDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 35.96%


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