Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
