Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 71.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ would win this match.
