Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-17s win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Switzerland Under-17s had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-17s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Switzerland Under-17s win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-17s would win this match.
