SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Portugal Under-17s had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Portugal Under-17s win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-17s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy Under-17s | Draw | Portugal Under-17s |
44.61% ( 2.85) | 24.94% ( 0.33) | 30.45% ( -3.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( -2.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( -2.64) | 47.01% ( 2.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( -2.51) | 69.26% ( 2.51) |
| Italy Under-17s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( 0.2) | 21.11% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( 0.3) | 53.95% ( -0.3) |
| Portugal Under-17s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -3.3) | 28.88% ( 3.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( -4.3) | 64.75% ( 4.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy Under-17s | Draw | Portugal Under-17s |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 1.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.86)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.45% |
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