Italy have arguably been the standout side in the tournament, and we think that they will continue their fine form by claiming a narrow victory in Friday's semi-final.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%).