Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Vllaznia Shkoder had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Vllaznia Shkoder win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
