SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cukaricki win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Racing FC had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cukaricki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Racing FC win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cukaricki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cukaricki | Draw | Racing FC |
41.46% ( 0.05) | 23.94% ( 0.01) | 34.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.03) | 40.95% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( -0.03) | 63.34% ( 0.03) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.01) | 19.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( 0.01) | 52.18% ( -0.01) |
| Racing FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.04) | 23.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.06) | 57.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cukaricki | Draw | Racing FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.59% |
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