Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva in this match.
