SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kairat win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kairat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kairat | Draw | Varda SE |
41.92% ( -0.01) | 24.15% ( 0.01) | 33.92% |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( -0.06) | 42.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.06) | 64.53% ( 0.06) |
| Kairat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -0.03) | 20.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.36% ( -0.05) | 52.64% ( 0.05) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.03) | 24.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.26% ( -0.04) | 58.73% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kairat | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.92% |
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