LASK have fared well at home in recent games, and we think that they will win the second leg, but we do not believe the margin of victory will be big enough to prevent Slavia Prague form advancing to the quarter finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.
