Apollon
5 - 1
Saburtalo

Dabo (4', 32', 76'), Diguiny (59'), Gianniotas (86')
Szalai (52')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guliashvili (69')
Margvelashvili (29'), Boumal (37'), Tera (39')
Tchitchinadze (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Apollon Smyrni and Saburtalo Tbilisi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Saburtalo had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Saburtalo win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Apollon Smyrni would win this match.

Result
Apollon Smyrni	Draw	Saburtalo Tbilisi
49.13%	23.79%	27.08%

Both teams to score 57.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12%

43.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.73%

66.27%

Apollon Smyrni Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02%

17.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17%

48.82%

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27%

65.72%

Score Analysis

Apollon Smyrni 49.13%

Saburtalo Tbilisi 27.08%

Draw 23.79%

Apollon Smyrni	Draw	Saburtalo Tbilisi
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.13%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.79%	1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.23% Total : 27.08%