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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht

Ararat-Armenia
4 - 3
Fola Esch

Martinez (17'), Lima (90+1' pen., 90+4' pen.), Vakulenko (113')
Junior (39'), Alemao (55'), Ambartsumyan (100'), Sanogo (103')
Junior (43')
FT
(aet)
Pimentel (19'), Bensi (56' pen.), Hadji (81')
Delgado (23'), Pimentel (68'), Bensi (72'), Sacras (90+3'), Klein (117')
Pimentel (90+1')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Fola Esch.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Fola Esch had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Fola Esch win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).

Result
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawFola Esch
44.28%26.07%29.65%
Both teams to score 52.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89%52.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17%73.83%
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57%57.43%
Fola Esch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96%32.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49%68.51%
Score Analysis
    Ararat-Armenia 44.28%
    Fola Esch 29.65%
    Draw 26.06%
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawFola Esch
1-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.65%


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