Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Kauno Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.