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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
6 - 1
Kauno Zalgiris

Zinckernagel (27', 36'), Petter Hauge (52', 59' pen.), Okoh Boniface (79'), Tounekti (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Otele (78')
Dapkus (58')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Bodo/Glimt and Kauno Zalgiris.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Kauno Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawKauno Zalgiris
72.58%16.87%10.55%
Both teams to score 48.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01%61.98%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.45%9.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.03%31.97%
Kauno Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.86%46.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.17%81.82%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 72.57%
    Kauno Zalgiris 10.55%
    Draw 16.87%
Bodo/GlimtDrawKauno Zalgiris
2-0 @ 12.15%
1-0 @ 10.34%
3-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 7.36%
4-0 @ 5.59%
4-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.85%
5-0 @ 2.63%
5-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.67%
6-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 72.57%
1-1 @ 8%
0-0 @ 4.4%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.87%
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 3.1%
0-2 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.55%


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