Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Borac Banja Luka had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Borac Banja Luka win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
