SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FCSB | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
46.57% ( 2.69) | 24.71% ( -0.14) | 28.72% ( -2.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.66) | 46.87% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.63) | 69.12% ( 0.63) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 0.91) | 20.19% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( 1.43) | 52.5% ( -1.44) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -2.09) | 30.01% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -2.59) | 66.14% ( 2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| FCSB | Draw | Rigas Futbola Skola |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.72% |
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