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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Stadion Střelnice
CL

Jablonec
2 - 4
Celtic

Pilar (17'), Bitton (85' og.)
Surzyn (75'), Zeleny (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Abada (12'), Furuhashi (16'), Forrest (64'), Christie (90')
Taylor (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest FK Baumit Jablonec win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
FK Baumit JablonecDrawCeltic
27.34%26.79%45.87%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95%56.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87%77.13%
FK Baumit Jablonec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.09%35.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31%72.69%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2%58.8%
Score Analysis
    FK Baumit Jablonec 27.34%
    Celtic 45.86%
    Draw 26.78%
FK Baumit JablonecDrawCeltic
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-0 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 12.35%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 45.86%

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