Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kukesi win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slavia Sofia had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kukesi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Slavia Sofia win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kukesi would win this match.