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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Zeqir Ymeri Stadium

Kukesi
2 - 1
Slavia Sofia

Friday Eze (56' pen.), Cooper (85')
Telushi (11'), Musolli (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krastev (81')
Popadiyn (19'), Stoev (73')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Kukesi and Slavia Sofia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kukesi win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slavia Sofia had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kukesi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Slavia Sofia win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kukesi would win this match.

Result
KukesiDrawSlavia Sofia
56.48%24.28%19.23%
Both teams to score 46.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21%53.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73%75.26%
Kukesi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08%18.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58%50.41%
Slavia Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6%42.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22%78.78%
Score Analysis
    Kukesi 56.47%
    Slavia Sofia 19.23%
    Draw 24.28%
KukesiDrawSlavia Sofia
1-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.3%
4-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 56.47%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.23%


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