Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Lech Poznan and Valmiera.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 66.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Valmiera / BSS had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Valmiera / BSS win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.