Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.