Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Shkupi

Bougrine (67'), Krivotsyuk (88')
Krivotsyuk (42'), Kane (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darboe (90+3')
Goudiaby (40'), Iseni (46')
Goudiaby (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Shkupi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shkupi had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Shkupi win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.

Result
Neftchi Baku	Draw	Shkupi
54.47%	24.75%	20.78%

Both teams to score 47.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28%

53.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79%

75.21%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33%

19.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34%

51.66%

Shkupi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33%

40.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.74%

77.27%

Score Analysis

Neftchi Baku 54.47%

Shkupi 20.78%

Draw 24.75%

Neftchi Baku	Draw	Shkupi
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.47%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.78%