Niederkorn
0 - 5
Willem II

Janisch (10'), Ferino (68')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pavlidis (19', 34'), Saglam (28'), Nunnely (46'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and Willem II.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.62%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Progres Niederkorn	Draw	Willem II
37.74%	22.52%	39.74%

Both teams to score 67.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.66%

33.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.88%

55.11%

Progres Niederkorn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59%

18.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44%

49.56%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.93%

48.07%

Score Analysis

Progres Niederkorn 37.74%

Willem II 39.74%

Draw 22.52%

Progres Niederkorn	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 5.46% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.23% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 8.28% 0-1 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.8% 2-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.24% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.15% Total : 39.74%