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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Ecolog Arena

Renova
0 - 1
Hajduk Split


Gafuri (45+2'), Abdula (66'), Gavazaj (90+2'), Mishkovski (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Caktas (4')
Jairo (7'), Vuskovic (42'), Mujakic (64'), Todorovic (70'), Diamantakos (90+3')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Renova and Hajduk Split.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 48.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Renova had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Renova win it was 1-0 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result
RenovaDrawHajduk Split
24.88%26.86%48.27%
Both teams to score 46.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2%57.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47%78.53%
Renova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.01%38.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.29%75.71%
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73%58.28%
Score Analysis
    Renova 24.88%
    Hajduk Split 48.26%
    Draw 26.86%
RenovaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.88%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 13.35%
0-2 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-3 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 48.26%


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