Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Tre Fiori had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Tre Fiori win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Riga FC in this match.