Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Valletta had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Valletta win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bala Town in this match.