FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Robert Parker Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Ashford Town and Herne Bay.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herne Bay win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Ashford Town had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Herne Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Ashford Town win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Herne Bay would win this match.
| Result |
| Ashford Town | Draw | Herne Bay |
25.17% ( -0.13) | 22% ( -0.01) | 52.83% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.11) |
| 62.77% ( -0.08) | 37.23% ( 0.08) |
| 40.57% ( -0.09) | 59.43% ( 0.09) |
| 72.41% ( -0.14) | 27.59% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.88% ( -0.18) | 63.12% ( 0.18) |
| 85.76% ( 0.02) | 14.24% ( -0.01) |
