Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corsham Town win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Aylesbury had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corsham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Aylesbury win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
