There is definitely potential for an upset in this tie given Barnsley's atrocious season so far and current squad issues. If it was being played at Holker Street we would fancy a Barrow win, but we think that the game will finish level after 90 minutes before the Tykes squeeze through in extra time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%).