Barnstaple Town
4 - 1
Falmouth Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Barnstaple Town and Falmouth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnstaple Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Falmouth Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnstaple Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Falmouth Town win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnstaple Town would win this match.

Result
Barnstaple Town	Draw	Falmouth Town
42.02%	22.32%	35.65%

Both teams to score 67.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.34%

32.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.66%

54.33%

Barnstaple Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66%

16.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07%

45.93%

Falmouth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93%

19.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33%

50.67%

Score Analysis

Barnstaple Town 42.02%

Falmouth Town 35.65%

Draw 22.32%

Barnstaple Town	Draw	Falmouth Town
2-1 @ 8.47% 1-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 0.98% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.65%