FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mill Road
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Barnstaple Town and Falmouth Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnstaple Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Falmouth Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnstaple Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Falmouth Town win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnstaple Town would win this match.
| Result |
| Barnstaple Town | Draw | Falmouth Town |
| 42.02% | 22.32% | 35.65% |
| Both teams to score 67.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Barnstaple Town 42.02%
Falmouth Town 35.65%
Draw 22.32%
| Barnstaple Town | Draw | Falmouth Town |
2-1 @ 8.47%
1-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 5.12%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 42.02%
| 1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 7.02%
0-0 @ 3.11%
3-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.32%
| 1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 0.98%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.65%
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