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AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon win 4-2 on penalties

Gribbin (40'), Hird (57'), Kay (90+5')

FT
(aet)

Nightingale (35'), Palmer (57'), Guinness-Walker (83')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Barrow and AFC Wimbledon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
Barrow	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
44.74%	25.32%	29.94%

Both teams to score 54.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11%

48.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02%

70.98%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93%

55.07%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82%

30.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.66%

66.34%

Score Analysis

Barrow 44.73%

AFC Wimbledon 29.94%

Draw 25.32%

Barrow	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.94%