Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royston Town win with a probability of 42%. A win for Bedford had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royston Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Bedford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royston Town would win this match.
