SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Bury had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Bury win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Bury |
54.19% ( -0.14) | 20.51% ( 0.01) | 25.29% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.86% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.1) | 29.78% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.13) | 50.93% ( -0.13) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( -0.01) | 11.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.01% ( -0.01) | 35.98% ( 0.01) |
| Bury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.15) | 23.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.22) | 57.49% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Bury |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.29% |
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