Bourne Town
0 - 1
Aylestone Park

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Bourne Town and Aylestone Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aylestone Park win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Bourne Town had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aylestone Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 2-3 (5.33%). The likeliest Bourne Town win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aylestone Park would win this match.

Result
Bourne Town	Draw	Aylestone Park
26.57% ( 0.06)	19.72% ( -0.03)	53.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 72.4% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.45% (

0.19)

24.55% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.67% (

0.25)

44.33% (

-0.25)

Bourne Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.14)

19.8% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

0.22)

51.86% (

-0.22)

Aylestone Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.27% (

0.05)

9.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.61% (

0.12)

32.39% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Bourne Town 26.57%

Aylestone Park 53.71%

Draw 19.72%

Bourne Town	Draw	Aylestone Park
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.57%	1-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.72%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 4.25% Total : 53.71%