FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground
Mazzone (10'), Duffy (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Raynes Park Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chertsey Town win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Raynes Park Vale had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chertsey Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Raynes Park Vale win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chertsey Town would win this match.
| Result |
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Raynes Park Vale |
52.5% ( 0.09) | 20.99% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.34% ( 0.05) |
| 69.03% ( 0.09) | 30.96% ( -0.1) |
| 47.65% ( 0.11) | 52.34% ( -0.11) |
| 87.81% ( 0.06) | 12.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.16% ( 0.12) | 37.83% ( -0.12) |
| 76.69% ( 0.01) | 23.3% ( -0.01) |
