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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
 

Darlaston Town
2 - 3
Harborough Town

Rowland (5', 41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Robinson (75'), Malone (79'), Stephens (90+7')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Darlaston Town and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harborough Town win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Darlaston Town had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Darlaston Town win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harborough Town would win this match.

Result
Darlaston TownDrawHarborough Town
29.84% (-1.136 -1.14) 23.75% (0.233 0.23) 46.4% (0.899 0.9)
Both teams to score 59.85% (-1.519 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-1.709 -1.71)41.93% (1.702 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (-1.74 -1.74)64.33% (1.734 1.73)
Darlaston Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-1.575 -1.58)26.74% (1.57 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-2.12 -2.12)62.01% (2.114 2.11)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.316 -0.32)18.29% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63% (-0.533 -0.53)49.37% (0.529 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Darlaston Town 29.84%
    Harborough Town 46.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Darlaston TownDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.365 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.542 0.54)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.394 0.39)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (0.186 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 46.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Darlaston Town 3-0 Lye Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rugby Borough 0-4 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Harborough Town 0-0 Darlaston Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tamworth 2-0 Harborough Town
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3


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