FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Aldiss Park

Dereham
1 - 1
Wisbech Town

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Dereham Town and Wisbech Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dereham Town

Last Game: Dereham 0-4 Norwich
Friday, July 1 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dereham Town win with a probability of 66.1%. A win for Wisbech Town had a probability of 17.01% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dereham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Wisbech Town win was 1-2 (4.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Dereham Town	Draw	Wisbech Town
66.1% ( -0.14)	16.9% ( 0.06)	17.01% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 68.58% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.41% (

-0.15)

23.59% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.95% (

-0.21)

43.05% (

0.21)

Dereham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.16% (

-0.06)

6.84% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.82% (

-0.17)

25.18% (

0.18)

Wisbech Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.02)

26.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.03)

61.54% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Dereham Town 66.1%

Wisbech Town 17.01%

Draw 16.9%

Dereham Town	Draw	Wisbech Town
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.45% Total : 66.1%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.9%	1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.24% Total : 17.01%