Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eccleshill United win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Mossley AFC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eccleshill United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Mossley AFC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
