Erith Town
6 - 2
Pagham

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Erith Town and Pagham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erith Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erith Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erith Town would win this match.

Result
Erith Town	Draw	Pagham
56.37% ( 0.78)	20.41% ( 0.06)	23.21% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 65.65% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.41% (

-1.27)

31.59% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.91% (

-1.5)

53.08% (

1.5)

Erith Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.68% (

-0.2)

11.32% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.02% (

-0.43)

35.97% (

0.43)

Pagham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-1.34)

25.97% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-1.84)

60.99% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Erith Town 56.37%

Pagham 23.22%

Draw 20.41%

Erith Town	Draw	Pagham
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 56.37%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.41%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23.22%