Harefield United
1 - 1
Lewes

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Harefield United and Lewes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harefield United

Last Game: Harefield United 3-0 Sandhurst Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Lewes

Last Game: Lewes 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lewes win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Harefield United had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lewes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Harefield United win it was 2-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Harefield United	Draw	Lewes
12.18% ( -0)	15.37% ( -0)	72.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.08% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.92%

27.07% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.42% (

47.58% (

-0)

Harefield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.01)

34.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62% (

-0)

71.37% (

Lewes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.47%

6.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.65% (

24.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Harefield United 12.18%

Lewes 72.45%

Draw 15.37%

Harefield United	Draw	Lewes
2-1 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.67% 2-0 @ 1.27% 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 12.18%	1-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.37%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 8.12% 0-3 @ 7.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.17% 1-4 @ 5.54% 0-4 @ 5.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.3% 1-5 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.94% 0-5 @ 2.85% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.6% 1-6 @ 1.38% 0-6 @ 1.3% 3-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.95% Total : 72.45%