FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Memorial Playing Fields
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Hartley Wintney and Downton.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartley Wintney win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Downton had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartley Wintney win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Downton win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartley Wintney would win this match.
| Result |
| Hartley Wintney | Draw | Downton |
39.75% ( 0.38) | 22.56% ( 0.21) | 37.68% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.87) |
| 66.39% ( -1.12) | 33.61% ( 1.12) |
| 44.57% ( -1.28) | 55.42% ( 1.28) |
| 82.34% ( -0.31) | 17.65% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.55) | 48.26% ( 0.55) |
| 81.44% ( -0.74) | 18.55% ( 0.74) |
