Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Cray Valley Paper Mills.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Cray Valley (PM) had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Cray Valley (PM) win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.