FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Town Ground
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Heanor Town and Ilkeston.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilkeston win with a probability of 73.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Heanor Town had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilkeston win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Heanor Town win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilkeston would win this match.
| Result |
| Heanor Town | Draw | Ilkeston |
11.99% ( 0.01) | 14.65% ( -0.01) | 73.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( 0.08) |
| 76.24% ( 0.07) | 23.75% ( -0.07) |
| 56.73% ( 0.1) | 43.26% ( -0.1) |
| 67.56% ( 0.07) | 32.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.08) | 68.95% ( -0.09) |
| 94.37% ( 0.01) | 5.62% ( -0.01) |
