FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Larkfield Park

Larkfield & New Hythe
1 - 1
Cray Wanderers

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Larkfield & New Hythe and Cray Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larkfield & New Hythe

Last Game: Larkfield & New Hythe 3-1 Lingfield
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cray Wanderers win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Larkfield & New Hythe had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cray Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Larkfield & New Hythe win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Larkfield & New Hythe	Draw	Cray Wanderers
25.1% ( -0.03)	21.33% ( -0.02)	53.56% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 64.51% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.97% (

0.05)

34.03% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.1% (

0.06)

55.9% (

-0.06)

Larkfield & New Hythe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08% (

0.01)

25.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.09% (

0.01)

60.91% (

-0.01)

Cray Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

0.03)

12.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.65% (

0.07)

39.35% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Larkfield & New Hythe 25.1%

Cray Wanderers 53.56%

Draw 21.33%

Larkfield & New Hythe	Draw	Cray Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.1%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 53.56%