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LO
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
TR

Leyton Orient
4 - 0
Tranmere

Smith (22', 83'), Beckles (36'), Drinan (60' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Spearing (43'), Cogley (45+3'), Knight-Percival (59')

We said: Leyton Orient 2-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere are unbeaten in their last two trips to Brisbane Road, but given Leyton Orient's impressive home record this season, we think the O's will collect a narrow victory on Saturday to progress to the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawTranmere Rovers
34.83%28.83%36.33%
Both teams to score 45.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.73%61.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.81%81.19%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23%69.77%
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82%32.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33%68.67%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 34.82%
    Tranmere Rovers 36.34%
    Draw 28.83%
Leyton OrientDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 7.37%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 12.1%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.34%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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