FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rowley Lane
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between London Lions and Arlesey Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a London Lions win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Arlesey Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a London Lions win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.32%). The likeliest Arlesey Town win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that London Lions would win this match.
| Result |
| London Lions | Draw | Arlesey Town |
43.44% ( 0.16) | 22.09% ( 0.04) | 34.46% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 68.3% ( -0.21) |
| 68.22% ( -0.25) | 31.77% ( 0.25) |
| 46.7% ( -0.3) | 53.3% ( 0.29) |
| 84.56% ( -0.04) | 15.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.08) | 44.28% ( 0.08) |
| 80.76% ( -0.21) | 19.23% ( 0.21) |
